Opening Day is the best day of the year. You know it, I know it.
No need to get into all the reasons why. But one of my favorites reasons is for the juicy pitching matchups we get so see.
So when I heard the news that Vicente Padilla (you can’t make this up) will start the opener for the Los Angeles Dodgers, well, that’s not exactly what I had in mind.
In the grand scheme of a 162 game season, in which Starters 1-4 all start 30+ games each, it really doesn’t matter who starts which game. Due to a variety of factors, the order always gets switched around anyway. It’s not like the #1 starters from each team will always square off against each other. But shouldn’t we get exactly that in Game #1?
Because when Padilla is throwing meaningful pitches on April 5, that’s not what we’re getting.

On second thought, maybe this IS the guy that should start...
Joe Torre, move aside. I’m going to make the call on who should start Opening Day, Not just for the Dodgers, but for all 30 teams.
These are the matchups that all of America SHOULD see…
(Note: For each game I have listed the actual pitching matchup, but have made the necessary correction — if necessary.)
- New York vs Boston: CC Sabathia vs. Josh Beckett Jon Lester
Sabathia vs. Beckett will be a great treat and a great battle. And there’s nothing wrong with that selection, but Lester deserves this nod slightly over Beckett.
They had quite comparable season’s in 2009, But Lester (3.41) was a notch better than Beckett (3.86). And 2008 wasn’t even close. Over the last two years, Lester is 31-14 (3.31 ERA), while Beckett is 29-16 (3.93).
Lester also became the first left-hander in team history to record 200 strikeouts (225) in a single season in 2009. Beckett, who will start his fifth opening day, is still an ace, per se, but the 26-year-old Lester is an even better one and will be the #1 for this team for years to come.
Time to reward him for it.
- St. Louis vs. Cincinnati: Chris Carpenter vs. Aaron Harang Bronson Arroyo
Adam Wainwright would get the ball for about 15 other teams, but one brilliant year as a starter doesn’t surpass Mr. Chris Carpenter. Sorry.
Aaron Harang? Really? I know the 6-14 record last year is insanely deceiving with a decent enough 4.21 ERA, but still. He has under-achieved the last two years, and Bronson Arroyo had 15 wins, a better ERA (3.84) and nine more quality starts. It isn’t always pretty with Arroyo, but he stays healthy (five straight years of 200+ innings) and has won 30 games the last two years.
Harang has LOST 31 games the last two years.
- Cleveland vs. Chicago: Jake Westbrook vs. Mark Buehrle
Where’s Cliff Lee or CC Sabathia when you need them? Unfortunately for the Indians, they didn’t exactly get a future ace back in either the Sabathia trade nor the Lee trade.
And unfortunately for the Indians, their Opening Day options are Westbrook, Fausto Carmona, Justin Masterson, David Huff and Mitch Talbot. Yuck. Based on talent alone, it should be Carmona. But judging by his nifty ERAs the last two years (6.32, 5.45), that talent hasn’t exactly translated into results. That leaves Westbrook, who didn’t pitch a single inning last year due to injury, as the only real choice. He’s a seasoned veteran who has been with the club for eight years — three of which were healthy and productive. Hey, that’s better than the other guys on Cleveland can attest to.
As for Buehrle , who is drawing his 8th Opening-Day assignment, there may be three other guys in that rotation who have better stuff than he does. Up-and-comers John Danks and Gavin Floyd are solid, and will get their respective chance eventually. Big things are expected of Jake Peavy, but the former San Diego ace told manager Ozzie Guillen that he didn’t deserve the honor of pitching the opener. He’s right. He doesn’t. Not when he didn’t even want to come to Chicago in the first place, before finally agreeing to a trade to come over from the NL.
And until someone else throws a perfect game and epitomizes the White Sox, it’s Mark Buehrle’s right to start whenever he wants to.
- Philadelphia vs. Washington: Roy Halladay vs. John Lannan
Normally I don’t think newcomers to a team should get the honor of opening day, but we’re talking about Roy Halladay here. The ultimate workhorse on the mound. And besides, Cole Hamels (10-11, 4.32) was a major disappointment last year.
Before you laugh at a guy named John Lannan getting the opening day start, and before you laugh at a guy with a 9-13 record deserving the opening day start, consider two things: Lannan had a 3.82 ERA in 200+ innings last season AND by delaying Stephen Strasburg’s debut for a few weeks, the small-market minded Nationals will control his rights an extra year. That’s a big deal.
But I will admit, it would be an absolute delight to see Strasburg vs. Halladay.
- Toronto vs. Texas: Shaun Marcum vs. Scott Feldman
Toronto’s predicament is eerily similar to Cleveland’s. They traded away their ace (Roy Halladay), don’t currently have a lot to show for it, and don’t have anybody that really deserves this. And also like Cleveland, the guy that does deserve it most — Marcum — didn’t pitch a single inning in 2008. Oh well.
If this was 2005, Rich Harden would be nasty, healthy and an ace. But since it’s 2010, Scott Feldman and his where-the-heck-did-that-come-from 2009 season (17-8, 4.08) should start.
- Detroit vs. Kansas City: Justin Verlander vs. Zach Greinke
Duh.
This is matchup is a treasure.
- Florida vs. New York: Josh Johnson vs. Johan Santana
Another no-brainer.
- Chicago vs. Atlanta: Ted Lilly Carlos Zambrano vs. Derek Lowe Jair Jurrjens
This is an interesting one. Take a look at the 2009 stats for Chicago’s main starters.
–Carlos Zambrano: 9-7, 3.77 ERA, 17 QS
–Ted Lilly: 12-9, 3.10 ERA, 21 QS
–Randy Wells: 12-10, 3.05 ERA, 18 QS
–Ryan Dempster: 11-9, 3.65 ERA, 19 QS
So let get me get this straight…the guy with the FEWEST wins, the WORST earned-run average and the FEWEST quality starts is the one getting the start?
Give me Lilly. You know, the guy who is consistent and isn’t an absolute head-case.
Atlanta also has a tough decision on its hands with Derek Lowe, Tim Hudson, Jair Jurrjens and Tommy Hanson all with a claim.
Lowe and Hudson have the pedigree, while Hanson has the talent and future ace label — but it’s Jurrjens who has every right to start this game. His ERA (2.60) was more than two full runs better than Lowe’s 4.67.
I’m sure Jurrjens will come back to earth a little bit this season, but still.
- Minnesota vs. Los Angeles: Scott Baker vs. Jered Weaver
The Angels have some guys with filthy stuff in that rotation (Scott Kazmir and Ervin Santana come to mind), but you never know what you are getting from them. You do with Jered Weaver.
For a team that is expected to win the AL Central, the Twins don’t have any starters that scare the opposing lineups — except for maybe Francisco Liriano. But they always get the job done, don’t they? Maybe this is the year Liriano stays healthy and breaks through like we always think he will, but Scott Baker was the best of the bunch in 2009 and deserves the ball.
- Los Angeles vs. Pittsburgh: Clayton Kershaw Vicente Padilla vs. Zach Duke
I don’t need to tell you why Vicente Padilla doesn’t deserve the Opening Day start.
Chad Billingsley headed into 2009 with “Ace” written all over him, but was erratic and inconsistent after a terrific 2008 season (16-10, 3.14 ERA, 201 K). Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw’s 8-8 record wasn’t anything to get excited about, but his 2.79 ERA and 185 strikeouts in 171 innings pitched certainly is. Kershaw just turned 22 and it appears that he may now be the one with the ‘Ace” title of the Dodgers.
Zach Duke, Paul Maholm and Ross Ohlendorf virtually all had the same 2009 campaign for the Pirates. Duke has been around the longest and has done it for the longest. He gets the start.
- Seattle vs. Oakland: Felix Hernandez vs. Ben Sheets Brett Anderson
If Felix isn’t starting Opening Day for Seattle for the next 10 years, something has gone terribly, terribly wrong.
I want to give the ball to Sheets, but three things concern me and make me decide otherwise.
- THIS. Just read it.
- He missed the entire 2009 season.
- He’s new to the team.
I know one beyond-horrendous Spring Training start really doesn’t matter. And the fact that he’s new to the team doesn’t matter much, either. But as I’ve said before, the Opening Day start is sacred in my opinion. And although Brett Anderson has only pitched one year in the Big Leagues, it was a pretty darn good one. And scouts rave about the guy and his Cy Young potential.
Anderson is probably the best pitcher on this team right now. And he likely will be for the next five years or so until Oakland can no longer afford him. He should start.
- Colorado vs. Milwaukee: Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Yovani Gallardo
Yup.
- San Diego vs. Arizona: Jon Garland vs. Dan Haren
San Diego is a mess. They got relative newbies (Clayton Richard and Sean Gallagher), a newcomer (Jon Garland), an injury-riddled reclamation project (Chris Young) and another (Kevin Correia) who likely nobody trusts to duplicate a solid 2009 (12-11, 3.91).
So basically, you have to give it to Garland — who has more career wins (117) than the other four guys combined (91).
- San Francisco vs. Houston: Tim Lincecum vs. Roy Oswalt
What? You thought it was going to be Todd Wellmeyer vs. Brian Moehler?
However, if you thought it should be Lincecum vs. Wandy Rodriguez, I wouldn’t blame you. Wandy is vastly underrated and was definitely better than Oswalt in 2009. But Roy Oswalt is 137-70 with two 20-win seasons and a 3.23 ERA in his 9-year career with the Astros. It’s his baseball if he wants it.
- Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay: Kevin Millwood vs. James Shields Matt Garza
It’s a bit sad when the 35-year-old Kevin Millwood is unquestionably the only option to start Opening Day for your team. I know he was pretty good last season, but you know what I’m talking about. Baltimore is in for another tough year.
As for Tampa Bay, David Price isn’t there yet. Jeff Niemann was good, but was no better than James Shields and Matt Garza who have the tenure. It’s close between those two who have been virtually the same pitcher over the last two seasons.
Shields has taken the ball each of the last two years on Opening Day, and was shellacked in 2009. So why not give Garza a turn?





